Major stock indices crossed some key technical thresholds, and interest rates and commodities pulled back sharply as economic concerns really start to pile up ahead of a hawkish Federal Reserve....
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Markets in Motion
Markets in Motion – Bear Market Edition
Every month, our investment committee holds a meeting to discuss the most important issues driving the macroeconomy and financial markets. This month’s meeting was especially pertinent as it comes...
Markets in Motion — Inversion! Time to Start the Recession Clock?
The 2-year vs 10-year yield curve has inverted for the first time since 2019. Historically, when this curve inverts there has been a better than two-thirds chance of a recession at some point in the next year and a greater than 98% chance of a recession at some point in the next two years.
Markets in Motion — A New Cold War?
Nation-state level war has returned to Europe. After weeks of escalation, Russian President Putin announced the invasion of Ukraine, citing protection of breakaway “republics” close to Russia as cassus belli while pledging to “demilitarize and de-nazify” the country…
Markets in Motion — As January Goes, So Goes the Year?
Donoghue Forlines’ 2022 Global Markets Outlook. We are only a few weeks into the year, but investors must hope the adage “as January goes, so goes the year” does not hold true for 2022. After all, at the recent lows, the S&P 500 was down almost 10%, while the Nasdaq 100 was down almost 15%. And behind this pullback, pain in the most speculative parts of the market is starting to add up.
Markets in Motion — Building Portfolios For The Next Generation of Investing
First off… thank you! 2021 is almost over and we are grateful to all our Advisors, Fiduciaries, Brokers, and partners who trust us with your business. We love being able to do this every day and...
Markets in Motion — Don’t Panic at Higher Prices
2021 was a perfect storm for consumer price inflation. An expanded money supply, less precautionary cash hoarding, stimulated and pent-up demand for consumer goods, and supply constraints have all combined to fuel a rapid rise in inflation.
Markets in Motion – Glass Half Bull
The seasonal market weakness that has historically dogged investors in September put a damper on the third quarter rally. As we head into the final quarter of the year, there are a mounting number...
Markets in Motion – Seasons Change – The Macro (mostly) Remains the Same
In our Memorial Day Markets in Motion, we re-affirmed our macro view for the upcoming summer. Checking back in just before Labor Day, and our views have broadly played out. Economic momentum has...
Markets in Motion – The Tax Man Cometh
Since our last Markets in Motion, our Global Macro view has begun to playout. Since mid-May, growth/quality equities have turned from laggards to leaders as cyclical assets have faltered. We think...
Markets In Motion – Re-Affirming Our Macro View
This month, during our investment committee meeting, we made no changes to our global tactical portfolios. We believe these are our best meetings because it means our monthly process has built...
Markets in Motion – Much Ado About Inflation
Concerns about higher than expected inflation have weighed on investors over the past few months. In our March Markets in Motion, we discussed our view that structurally higher inflation is not a...
