Markets in Motion
Additional Notes, January 2021
About our ETF Development
Donohue Forlines, in partnership with TrimTabs Asset Management (TTAM), has launched two new proprietary ETFs: TrimTabs Donoghue Forlines Risk Managed Innovation ETF (Ticker: DFNV) & TrimTabs Donoghue Forlines Tactical High Yield ETF (Ticker: DFHY).
We’ve been an innovator in ETF use in strategist portfolios for over a decade, and we decided that we should be employing our expertise and investment experience in the ETF products themselves. Our partnership with TrimTabs Asset Management also reflects our commitment to Quality and Free Cash Flow factors as long-term generators of alpha within our bond and equity portfolios and funds.
Both ETFs were designed to be core holdings in our global tactical suite and should improve our portfolios ability to better capture alpha yet hopefully avoid large drawdowns in times of systemic markets stress. We are in a “new world” for both equity and bond market dynamics and we believe our new products will be vastly more suited to this environment than most “off the shelf” core holdings.
Our Recent Allocation to Innovation
DFNV— which tracks the TrimTabs Donoghue Forlines Risk Managed Free Cash Flow Innovation Index, uses quantitative screens to identify companies with strong research and development investment and strong free cash flow. As we’ve outlined above, we believe both of these are crucial success factors in innovation investing and are positioned to identify & adapt to structural trends. Additionally, balancing growth and volatility is important. Therefore, we employ a “bear market” risk management trigger that shifts part of the portfolio to short-term treasuries to manage risk against capital destroying downside.
We feel DFNV best positions the global tactical suite to take advantage of the fourth industrial revolution and manage the risks associated with potential growth opportunities.
For more information, please see our DFNV Fact Sheet.
Our Recent High Yield Allocation
DFHY— which tracks the TrimTabs Donoghue Forlines Tactical High Yield Index, seeks to
capture the majority of the upside and more importantly avoid the majority of the downside of the high yield asset class during a full credit market cycle. The strategy utilizes proprietary defensive “Tactical” indicators to attempt to mitigate downside volatility and preserve capital by shifting primarily towards intermediate term treasury exposure during market declines. DFHY seeks consistent returns for investors seeking income distribution and We believe that combining High Yield with Tactical Defensive Risk Management is a differentiator in Index and ETF construction.
We feel DFHY best positions the global tactical suite to take advantage of the current yield starved fixed income environment.
For more information, please see our DFHY Fact Sheet.
Best regards,
John A. Forlines III
Chief Investment Officer
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The material contained herein as well as any attachments is not an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. It is presented only to provide information on investment strategies, opportunities and, on occasion, summary reviews on various portfolio performances. The investment descriptions and other information contained in this Markets in Motion are based on data calculated by Donoghue Forlines LLC (formerly W.E. Donoghue, LLC) and other sources including Morningstar Direct. This summary does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities and may not be relied upon in connection with any offer or sale of securities.
The views expressed are current as of the date of publication and are subject to change without notice. There can be no assurance that markets, sectors or regions will perform as expected. These views are not intended as investment, legal or tax advice. Investment advice should be customized to individual investors objectives and circumstances. Legal and tax advice should be sought from qualified attorneys and tax advisers as appropriate.
Policies for valuing portfolios, calculating performance, and preparing compliant presentations are available upon request. For a compliant presentation and/or the firm’s list of composite descriptions, please contact 800‐642‐4276 or info@donoghueforlines.com.
Donoghue Forlines is a registered investment adviser with United States Securities and Exchange Commission in accordance with the Investment Advisers Act of 1940. Registration does not imply a certain level of skill or training.
Investing involves risk. Principal loss is possible.
Holdings are subject to change and should not be considered a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
Before investing you should carefully consider the Fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges and expenses. This and other information is in the statutory and summary prospectuses, a copy of which may be obtained by visiting the Fund’s website at www.trimtabsfunds.com/dfhy, www.trimtabsfunds.com/dfnv. Please read the prospectus carefully before you invest.
DFNV and DFHY are distributed by Quasar Distributors, LLC, which is not affiliated with Donoghue Forlines.
There is no guarantee that DFNV will achieve its investment objective. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Because the Fund is an ETF (rather than a mutual fund), shares are bought and sold at market price (not NAV), may trade at a discount or premium to NAV, and are not individually redeemable. Owners of the shares may acquire those shares from the Fund and tender those shares for redemption to the Fund in Creation Unit aggregations only, consisting of 25,000 shares. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns. Investments in the Fund include risks associated with small-and mid-cap securities, which involve limited liquidity and greater volatility than large-cap securities. Because the Fund invests in ETFs, an investor will indirectly bear the principal risks of the underlying funds, including illiquidity, and an investment in the Fund will entail more costs and expenses than a direct investment in the Underlying ETFs. Passive funds that seek to track an index may hold the component securities of the underlying index regardless of the current or projected performance of a specific security or relevant market as a whole, which could cause the Fund returns to be lower than if the Fund employed an active strategy. The performance of the Fund may diverge from that of its Index. Downside Protection Model Risk. Neither the Adviser nor the Sub-Adviser can offer assurances that the downside protection model employed by the Underlying Index methodology will achieve its intended results, or that downside protection will be provided during periods of time when the Equity Portfolio is declining or during any period of time deemed to be a bear market. Investment in a fund that utilizes a downside protection model that seeks to minimize risk only during certain prolonged bear market environments may not be appropriate for every investor seeking a particular risk profile. The Fund’s investments in derivatives may pose risks in addition to and greater than those associated with investing directly in the underlying assets, including counterparty, leverage and liquidity risks. The Fund may participate in futures markets, which are highly volatile. The Fund’s investments in derivatives may pose risks in addition to and greater than those associated with investing directly in the underlying assets, including counterparty, leverage and liquidity risks. Active and frequent trading of portfolio securities may result in increased transaction costs to the Fund and may also result in higher taxes if Shares are held in a taxable account.
The TrimTabs Donoghue Forlines Risk Managed Free Cash Flow Innovation Index tracks the performance of a rules-based strategy that seeks to provide downside-protected exposure to U.S. equities with strong Free Cash Flow and R&D Investment, selected by a proprietary Free Cash Flow Innovation factor model. The index directs 50% of its position into short-term U.S. Treasury during a defensive regime. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
There is no guarantee that DFHY will achieve its investment objective. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Because the Fund is an ETF (rather than a mutual fund), shares are bought and sold at market price (not NAV), may trade at a discount or premium to NAV, and are not individually redeemable. Owners of the shares may acquire those shares from the Fund and tender those shares for redemption to the Fund in Creation Unit aggregations only, consisting of 25,000 shares. Brokerage commissions will reduce returns. Investments in the Fund include risks associated with small-and mid-cap securities, which involve limited liquidity and greater volatility than large-cap securities. Because the Fund invests in ETFs, an investor will indirectly bear the principal risks of the underlying funds, including illiquidity, and an investment in the Fund will entail more costs and expenses than a direct investment in the Underlying ETFs. Index-Based Strategy Risk. Passive funds that seek to track an index may hold the component securities of the underlying index regardless of the current or projected performance of a specific security or relevant market as a whole, which could cause the Fund returns to be lower than if the Fund employed an active strategy. The performance of the Fund may diverge from that of its Index. The Fund may participate in futures markets, which are highly volatile, and the use of futures may increase the volatility of the Fund’s NAV. Investments in debt securities typically decrease in value when interest rates rise. This risk is usually greater for longer-term debt securities. Investments by the Fund in high yield securities and unrated securities of similar credit quality are considered to be speculative and are generally subject to a greater risk of loss of principal and interest than investment grade securities. Investment in a fund that utilizes a tactical overlay that seeks to minimize risk may not be appropriate for every investor seeking a particular risk profile. Active and frequent trading of portfolio securities may result in increased transaction costs to the Fund, and may also result in higher taxes if Shares are held in a taxable account.
The TrimTabs Donoghue Forlines Tactical High Yield Index (the “Index”) derives its performance from a rules-based strategy that employs a tactical overlay driven by a technical signal to determine a bullish or defensive posture. The tactical overlay will trigger 80% of the portfolio into a defensive position, should market conditions warrant. When in a defensive position, the Fund will be invested in intermediate-term U.S. Treasury exchange-traded funds (“ETFs”). When bullish, the Fund will direct investments into a selection of High Yield Bond ETFs. It is not possible to invest directly in an index.
Free Cash Flow (FCF) represents the cash that a company is able to generate after accounting for capital expenditures.
Alpha is a measure of performance on a risk-adjusted basis.
Opinions expressed are subject to change, are not guaranteed, and should not be considered investment advice.
Market Price: The current price at which shares are bought and sold. Market returns are based upon last trade price. NAV: The dollar value of a single share, based on the value of the underlying assets of the fund minus its liabilities, divided by the number of shares outstanding. Calculated at the end of each business day.
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Donoghue Forlines (previously W.E. Donoghue) is a Boston-based tactical investment firm that has specialized in active risk-managed portfolios since 1986. We offer a full suite of proactive strategies designed to help advisors and their clients de-risk when market circumstances warrant it, enabling them to stay disciplined to meet their investment objectives. Learn More.
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